Update

Champions League qualification: Who is most likely to win race and how many spots will Premier League teams have?

Liverpool have mathematically qualified for the 2025/26 Champions League and Arsenal only need a point from their remaining two games, but which other Premier League sides will join them? The Premier League is guaranteed at least five clubs in next season's Champions League

Friday 16 May 2025 07:06, UK

The race for Champions League qualification is more competitive than ever with five Premier League teams guaranteed qualification, but who will make the cut?

The race for the top five is tight, with only six points separating second-placed Arsenal down to Nottingham Forest in seventh.

Chelsea and Aston Villa are level on 63 points with Forest on 62.

Premier League winners Liverpool have already guaranteed Champions League football, while Opta put Arsenal's prospects at 99.9 per cent.

Following their 2-2 draw at Anfield, the Gunners require one point from their remaining two fixtures to secure a top-five place.

Newcastle and Man City, despite their draw at Southampton, are also expected to qualify.

Newcastle's prospects of qualifying for the Champions League are now rated at 95 per cent by Opta's supercomputer with Man City's at 93 per cent.

But after their draw with Leicester, Forest's prospects have been reduced to 18 per cent, while Chelsea's stands at 56 per cent and Villa's have been raised to 40 per cent.